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AI Coding in the Wild (Developer Survey)

What developers are actually doing with AI...and what it tells us.

“Nothing is more terrible than activity without insight.”

Thomas Carlyle

Gino Ferrand, writing today from Santa Fe, New Mexico 🏜️

The headline numbers are seductive: 97% of developers say they use AI tools. Anecdotally, it sounds like we're living in a Copilot future. Code writes itself. Engineers become curators. The industry is transformed.

But the reality...as always...is more complicated.

A new WIRED article based on direct developer surveys pulls the curtain back. The hype is there. But so are friction points, shadow usage, diverging preferences, and uncertainty about where this is all going.

Here’s what the numbers say:

  • Only 17% of developers use AI “like, at all times.”

  • Another 26% use it frequently but not always.

  • And a full one-third of coders say they use AI just “every once in a while.”

In other words: the most common usage pattern is part-time. Devs are trying these tools. But most haven’t fully integrated them into the flow.

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The friction is often UI. Most coders are still jumping between tabs to ask questions in browser-based interfaces. The Venn diagram is telling: far more developers use AI via browser (e.g. ChatGPT) than through integrated IDE experiences. Only a small subset (69 people in the survey) reported using all three: browser, app, and IDE plugins.

That may sound like a tooling gap. But it might just reflect how developers actually prefer to work with AI: conversationally, not surgically.

Then there’s the accuracy problem. When asked what AI is bad at, the top answers were:

  • Wrong answers

  • Time understanding

  • Lack of context

  • Inconsistent answers

In short, exactly the things you need when writing code that needs to compile, interoperate, and behave predictably in edge cases.

The median developer seems to treat AI coding tools like a clever intern: occasionally helpful, frequently vague, and not someone you trust to ship prod code on their own.

So what’s really happening?

Devs are running small experiments. Some love AI and are optimizing for it. Others are skeptical. And a silent undercurrent is adopting it without permission...4% of full-time engineers say they use AI tools without their employer knowing.

That’s a red flag for leadership. Not just because of compliance risk, but because it signals a lack of alignment. Teams may not even know who is using what, when, and for which problems. And that’s before you factor in licensing, data leakage, or hallucinated package imports.

It’s not all doom, though. Freelancers and indie developers appear to be way more bullish. They were 33% more likely to identify as AI optimists, compared to their full-time counterparts. Perhaps that’s because they don’t have to fight existing workflows or legacy systems. They just care if it helps.

The most telling insights came from the end of the survey.
When asked how they expect AI to affect their careers:

  • 40% of developers said they think AI will create more jobs.

  • Another 30% believe it will eliminate the dull parts of their job.

  • Just 10% think it will replace them entirely.

There it is: the real bet isn’t on Copilot or Claude. It’s on the human at the keyboard. Developers are adapting...cautiously, pragmatically, sometimes rebelliously...to the new normal. They’re building workflows that work for them, not for the hype cycle.

For engineering leaders, this is a wake-up call. Don’t assume Copilot adoption is automatic. Don’t assume uniform buy-in. And above all, don’t mistake usage stats for transformation.

AI is here. But integration? That’s still a work in progress.

More to come…

Recommended Reads

✔️ How AI Tools Are Reshaping the Coding Workforce (The Wall Street Journal)

Gino Ferrand, Founder @ TECLA