"If debugging is the process of removing software bugs, then programming must be the process of putting them in."
Gino Ferrand, writing today from Santa Fe, New Mexico 🏜️
Everyone loves to talk about how AI can write code faster than any junior developer.
But what about fixing it?
That’s where things are still falling apart…a bit.
A new study from Microsoft Research, “Debug Gym,” set out to test whether leading AI models could debug faulty code snippets. Not just spot syntax errors, but find real logic bugs, reason through why they occur, and fix them.
The results?
Even the best models today struggle. Badly.
Across a range of tasks, GPT-4 achieved a 31% success rate at debugging real-world code problems. Claude 3 Opus did slightly better at 39%. Even specialist tools fine-tuned for code repair hovered below 50% accuracy.
That’s not just a rounding error. That’s a fundamental limit.
Writing code is a forward motion exercise. You start with a goal, generate scaffolding, fill in the blanks.
Debugging is a backwards problem. You start with symptoms...a failing test, a stack trace, a weird output...and have to reason in reverse through layers of assumptions and hidden dependencies.
AI is good at synthesis. It’s still bad at diagnosis.
Microsoft’s researchers built Debug Gym specifically because of this gap. They realized that “existing benchmarks” rewarded models for generating clean new code, but didn’t test the gritty, non-linear thinking needed to fix broken systems.
The testbed includes things like:
Understanding error messages
Modifying code with minimal, safe edits
Reasoning across multiple files and scopes
Handling under-specified, ambiguous bugs
In other words: everything real developers have to do in the wild.
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If you’re managing an engineering team today...and you're thinking AI agents can start architecting projects, writing code, and auto-fixing bugs soon...pause.
Bug-fixing is still a deeply human problem. The AI might help surface likely culprits, but it’s nowhere near reliable enough to trust without heavy human oversight.
There’s a big difference between writing code faster and delivering working, maintainable systems.
The Microsoft study suggests that future AI copilots will need to be trained not just on massive corpuses of clean code...but specifically on “debugging behavior,” including failure reasoning, hypothesis testing, and multi-step problem solving.
Today’s LLMs aren’t even close.
Writing clean new code might eventually get commoditized. But the real leverage...the thing that separates good engineers from average ones...has always been debugging.
Understanding systems. Finding hidden assumptions. Reasoning under uncertainty.
Right now, AI still needs us for that. And until it doesn’t, developers who can debug will be developers who stay indispensable…for now.
More to come…
✔️OpenAI CPO Kevin Weil writes obituary for techies, predicts AI will takeover human coders by end of this year? (The Economic Times)
✔️Debug-gym: an environment for AI coding tools to learn how to debug code like programmers (Microsoft)
– Gino Ferrand, Founder @ TECLA